Prices Dropping to a Higher Plateau

A regular shopper at Costco, I was taken aback by the sight of Charmin toilet paper on sale.

Palettes and shelves of toilet paper had fluctuated between empty and threadbare since the beginning of the pandemic, and the markdown gave hope that the balance between production, inventory, and demand had somewhat normalized.

However, the sale price of $19.49 was about 10% higher than the comparable sale price at the end of 2019.

The price level of toilet paper, in fact everything, appears to have reached a higher, permanent plateau.

We were pleased to see that gas had dipped below $6 a gallon at the end of June. During our round trip to Seattle at the end of July the cost in California was $5.20, while in Washington it ranged between $4.50 and $4.80. In the Bay Area this week we paid $4.95 (picture).

I like the downward trend, but I doubt we'll ever see the $3.20/gallon we paid at the end of 2019 in a "normal" economy or the $2.80 at the end of 2020 when activity had slowed to a crawl. Like I said, a higher, permanent plateau.