Sunday, April 20, 2025

Happy Easter

Unable to attend my church's regular Easter service at 10, I went hunting for an Episcopal sunrise service. The nearest was the Church of the Epiphany in San Carlos, where we had once been members from 1988 to 2003. The outdoor mass began at 6:30 a.m. and finished in under an hour. Music was furnished by a parishioner with a guitar.

I recognized a few old timers, but none of them recognized me. Well, it has been 22 years and we've all changed a bit.

Besides, if you show up to see and be seen, you're in the wrong place. Easter Sunday is a day to give thanks and praise for the gift of eternal life, regardless of whether two, three, or hundreds are gathered together.

Saturday, April 19, 2025

A Small Step for Science

(Image from Cleveland Clinic)
Your humble blogger volunteered to be part of a medical study. However, in order to qualify I had to submit to a series of tests, not only to establish a baseline for future comparison but also to see if I met certain minimum health requirements.

Earlier this week I had difficulty passing the electrocardiogram (ECG). The "QT interval" was stuck between 475 and 480 when it had to be under 470. No matter what the technician and I tried, i.e., relaxing and slowing breathing, raising or lowering my back, removing the iPhone and Apple Watch, nothing worked. (On the previous day the reading was 494, and they gave me an injection of potassium and magnesium in order to remedy a shortage that can raise the QT interval.)

The Mayo Clinic: [bold added]
  • On an ECG, there are five waves. They use the letters P, Q, R, S and T.
  • Waves Q through T show the heart signaling in the heart's lower chambers.
  • The time between the start of the Q wave and the end of the T wave is called the QT interval. This is how long it takes for the heart to squeeze and refill with blood before it beats again. If the interval takes longer than usual to happen, it's called a prolonged QT interval.
  • (GE image)
    GE Healthcare:
    Just as there are many ways to correct the QT for heart rate, there have been numerous attempts to establish the upper limit of "normal" for a corrected QT interval.

    Women have a slightly longer QT interval than men. This figure shows the 99% upper limit of normal of the QTc for men (470 msec) and women (480 msec).
    Speaking of prolonging, this story has gone on long enough. Just as we were ready to concede defeat, I thought of my hearing aids, which were too small for the technician to notice and which, in any case, were not on her checklist of forbidden ECG items.

    Upon their removal the QT interval fell all the way down to 446, well below the cutoff. Even before the study has begun, I'm already contributing to the advancement of science.

    Friday, April 18, 2025

    Good Friday, 2025

    The Good Friday service is a meditation on Jesus' death and sacrifice. This evening the chaplain's homily emphasized a topic that I had not heard before: that Jesus taught us how to die.
    In this world as his death was coming, Jesus reacted with serenity, truth, courage, and compassion. We are taught a great many things when we are growing up, but many of us are not taught how to respond to pain and suffering, the deaths of our loved ones and how to approach our own deaths.

    I see many people in the hospital on their deathbeds. Some are tormented and cannot be comforted unless someone is with them at all times, and even then sometimes that’s not enough. Sometimes nothing helps.

    And then there are those who know how to self-soothe and are mindful and are serene in accepting while in great pain and tragic, traumatic circumstances and even if isolated and forgotten by loved ones.

    Jesus knew pain, but he also knew how to care for his soul while he was in the middle of it. He practiced self-soothing in a deep spiritual embodied way. He cared for his own heart so that he could continue to give of himself. He did this in many ways. Jesus often withdrew to lonely places and prayed. When the pressure grew too much, when the crowds kept coming to see him, when he was low in spirits, Jesus stepped away. He didn’t numb or distract himself. He got quiet and still. Jesus didn’t escape to avoid the world. He withdrew to be refilled with the presence of God.

    He was honest when he prayed… In the Garden of Gethsemane Jesus doesn’t fake it. He lets them fear the weight of his circumstances. He cries, he sweats blood. When he prays, he speaks truth to the father. He opens his heart completely…

    Jesus trusted the bigger picture. He was able to accept and surrender, not using avoidance or distraction. In Isaiah’s vision of the Messiah the servant is not frantic. He is not reactive. He is silent and aware and surrendered, not from fear but from focused concentration. He was oppressed and afflicted, yet he did not open his mouth. Like a lamb that went to the slaughter he had inner clarity in the middle of chaos. “Into your hands I commit my spirit.”

    Jesus is in control.
    Circumstances allow many of us to come to the realization that our death is imminent and that there's nothing we can do about it. It's a seeming paradox: everything is out of our control when are most helpless, yet we can still be in control. Jesus is the Son of God and part of the Holy Trinity, but in the end he was also a great Teacher

    Thursday, April 17, 2025

    The Sincerest Form of Flattery

    Antonio Gramsci 
    For more than half a century America has been arguably a conservative-majority country. Yet liberals have controlled what and how the country talks about through their capture of academia, entertainment, and mass media. Conservatives have studied leftist political thinkers and begun employing their methods with some success. One such writer was Marxist Antonio Gramsci (1891-1937):
    Gramsci died in 1937, but he can be seen as the godfather of today’s culture wars. A dedicated opponent of Italy’s fascist dictator Benito Mussolini, he spent most of his last decade in prison, where he developed a highly influential new way of thinking about politics that put culture, rather than economics, at the center of the class struggle...

    In particular, Gramsci stressed the importance of universities in shaping culture. That makes him a model for American conservatives in their “fight against critical race theory, against trans ideology, against captured higher education institutions, against DEI,” [conservative Christopher] Rufo believes...

    Javier Milei, the right-wing, libertarian president of Argentina, told Tucker Carlson in a 2023 interview that he had to “wage a culture war every single day” because his left-wing opponents “have no problem with getting inside the state and employing Gramsci’s techniques: seducing the artists, seducing the culture, seducing the media or meddling in educational content.”

    In the U.S., the Italian thinker’s influence grew more slowly. Gramsci’s name appears in the writing of paleoconservative thinkers Paul Gottfried, Thomas Fleming and Sam Francis, who influenced Pat Buchanan’s Republican presidential bids in the 1990s. One of Gramsci’s biggest proponents in the pre-Trump era was Andrew Breitbart, the founder of Breitbart News, who quoted his axiom that “politics is downstream of culture.”

    More recently, far-right writers like Curtis Yarvin, who’s influenced Vice President JD Vance, have talked about how to capture power through a culture war. “This war is not fought with bombs and bullets, or even laws and judges,” Yarvin wrote in 2022. “This war is fought with books and films and plays and poems. It is still a savage war!
    Conservatives couldn't make much headway in steering the national discussion until the rise of alternate media (podcasts, blogs, social media). Once they gained a foothold, conservatives could wage counterattacks more successfully by focusing on the Gramscian cultural priority and using leftist tactics, e.g., Saul Alinsky's Rule 5 "Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon".

    Leftist institutions, now that their biases have been exposed, are fighting for their lives, because public funding is no longer automatic. In the immediate future American politics will be more competitive, more vicious, and more personal. Your humble blogger will not disengage but will avoid audio and visual content, which tends to rouse emotions at the expense of rational thinking.

    Wednesday, April 16, 2025

    More Accidents, but Safer

    (Meyer/Bay Area News Group)
    It's big, complicated, and causes more accidents, but traffic experts call it a success. [bold added]
    When a turbo roundabout rolled into the southernmost corner of the Bay Area early last year, it became the first-in-the-state adoption of a successful Dutch traffic innovation — a multi-lane roundabout shaped like a cartoon hurricane.

    And while the roundabout in San Benito County, far south of San Jose, was meant to improve safety, it brought with it a wave of confusion and a spike in accidents that saw drivers colliding at rates many times higher than before it was installed...

    A Mercury News analysis of crash data shows that crashes skyrocketed at the intersection in the year after the turbo roundabout was completed. But even as accidents have soared, serious injuries and deaths have disappeared, leaving many to assert that the roundabout is safer...

    While a Mercury News analysis showed a spike of crashes around the roundabout when it was first completed, experts promised that crash rates would decrease over time.

    So far, though, that hasn’t been the case.
    When we wrote about the roundabout last year, we hoped that South Bay drivers would climb the learning curve quickly. Alas, their proximity to Silicon Valley appears not to have rubbed off.

    Tuesday, April 15, 2025

    Tax Day, 2025

    (Image from Forbes)
    This Tax Day was stressful, but probably because in my dotage I'm less able to handle multi-tasking.

    After working over the weekend I managed to finish my mother’s tax returns. They were not rocket science but not simple either; she has real estate rentals, some of which are professionally managed, and the ones that aren't had no financial statements. I had originally planned on putting the returns on extension but as I was nearing the finish line I realized I had enough information to complete them with a few more hours of work.

    As for us, we are going on extension (physician, heal thyself). I put the big items in the computer and found that we owe some money, so we will pay the amount on Form 4868. At our leisure we’ll go hunting for 2024 deductions and maybe get a refund for some of them. We have until October 15th, which will arrive too quickly.

    Well, I’m off to the post office. It will be a relief to put taxes aside for a few days.

    Monday, April 14, 2025

    Silver Lining

    Parts of Southern California are in extreme drought:
    New data compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows that large swaths of both California and Nevada are facing down a summer of extreme drought, particularly in the southeast corners of those states. And the summer heatwaves haven’t even hit yet...

    The U.S. Department of Agriculture has already designated much of Southern California and southern Nevada (and all of Arizona) as being in a drought so severe that growers and farmers are now eligible for emergency financial relief. Counties such as Kern, Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino are considered primary natural disaster areas, meaning they’ve been in a severe drought (or worse) for at least eight consecutive weeks. By June, the National Interagency Fire Center said that “above normal [significant fire] potential” is forecast for “portions of central and Southern California.” By July, that potential “will expand into more of California and much of the Northwest.”
    The silver lining is that the reservoirs are full:
    Thankfully, it’s not all doom and gloom. Farther north, California’s water levels are robust, thanks in part to a healthy Sierra Nevada snowpack. The state’s major reservoirs are “well-above average” right now, and there’s even optimism up in far Northern California after researchers in the region stumbled upon a giant, 21-trillion-gallon aquifer just over the border in Oregon. Still, just months after a cascade of devastating wildfires ravaged Los Angeles, there’s already a sense from some prognosticators that this summer could be hot, dry and dangerous.
    California is fortunate that it has had three wet winters in a row. It won't have to pay the price this year for its inexcusable delay--to 2032--in bringing the Sites Reservoir on stream. Let's hope our luck lasts for seven more years.

    Sunday, April 13, 2025

    Palm Sunday, 2025

    In her homily the lady minister meditated on the highs and lows of Holy Week--Jesus' triumphant entrance into Jerusalem, the Last Supper, the betrayals and despair of the Crucifixion, and the joy of the Resurrection, the foundational event of Christianity.

    Don't just skip to the happy ending; the journey, not just the destination, is important.

    The church's worship area looks especially beautiful. The purple of Lent has given way to Palm Sunday's red, and the green palms and blue-white stained glass festooned the sanctuary with color. Enjoy the journey this week.

    Saturday, April 12, 2025

    iPhone 16 Pro Max

    One week ago I decided to hold off buying a new iPhone 16 because Apple Intelligence had been delayed and steep price hikes were coming.

    Family members encouraged me to go ahead and make the purchase; what if Apple runs out of inventory? (It wasn't a hard push.) On Friday afternoon I went to the Apple Store and charged an iPhone 16 Pro Max to the Apple card.

    It may be cognitive dissonance justifying the purchase, but the new phone is much faster than the 6½-year-old XS Max, the battery life is nearly double (after the entire day the charge was still above 50%), and the camera is a vast improvement in low light.

    Later Friday afternoon the Administration announced that it was exempting smartphones and other electronics from the new tariffs. The supply of iPhones seems to be assured, but I am glad I made the purchase anyway.

    Friday, April 11, 2025

    Antiparochi

    A train between Polikatoikies in Athens
    It sounds like an Italian dish, but antiparochi is a financial device used in post-war Greece to spur the construction of millions of homes. A variant of this device could kick-start homebuilding in San Francisco and other high-cost American cities.
    Antiparochi emerged in Athens from the wreckage of two world wars, after successive invasions by fascist Italy and Nazi Germany left Greece devastated. The idea involved homeowners in postwar Athens trading their land with apartment builders in exchange for a few condos in a new building, in lieu of cash. These buildings, typically four-story to six-story structures called polykatoikía, came to symbolize middle-class Athens.
    Most new city housing in modern-day America involves the developer buying high priced land from a homeowner, who pays large capital-gain taxes and typically moves away. The developer earns a profit by building two or more houses, condominiums, or even an apartment building; none of these structures is low-cost because of the high-priced land.

    As your humble blogger understands antiparochi, the homeowner exchanges his property to the developer in return for one or more new units. The developer, who no longer pays a high price for the land, doesn't need to sell the other new units for as high a price. Under Greek tax law, apparently, antiparochi did not result in taxes to the original landowner.

    Key to making the structure work in the U.S. is the non-recognition of capital gains by the homeowner for tax purposes. Under current law only investment properties can be exchanged for other investment properties (under IRC Section 1031) without triggering capital gains taxes. A homeowner who gives up his personal residence experiences a taxable transaction, whether he receives back cash or another real estate property. (It may be true that clever tax lawyers can come up with solutions using partnerships or other entities, just as they did with a limited number of high-income individuals to work around the $10,000 SALT limitation.)

    Antiparochi would only constitute part of the solution in California, however, who still would have its notorious red-tape problem. Nevertheless, kudos for creativity.

    Thursday, April 10, 2025

    Wasted and Useful Lives

    B. Kliban (1935-1990) was a cartoonist known for his drawings of cats, but it was his talent for making absurd connections that appealed to this fan. I was beginning my white collar career when I came across this gem. It was as funny then as it is now.

    Wednesday, April 09, 2025

    Relief Rally

    Happy trader, at least for 1 day (McDermid/Reuters/CNBC)
    The stock market bounced back today in one of "its biggest rallies in history".
    The stock market mounted one of its biggest rallies in history after President Donald Trump announced a pause in some of his “reciprocal” tariffs on the globe, causing a market that has been under extreme pressure for the past week to explode higher.

    The S&P 500 skyrocketed 9.52% to settle at 5,456.90 for its biggest one-day gain since 2008. For the broad market index, it was the third-biggest gain in post-WWII history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2,962.86 points, or 7.87%, to close at 40,608.45 for its biggest percentage advance since March 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 12.16% to end at 17,124.97, notching its largest one-day jump since January 2001 and second-best day ever.

    About 30 billion shares traded hands, making it the heaviest volume day on Wall Street in history, according to records that go back 18 years.

    “I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately,” Trump posted on his Truth Social. Trump, in the same post, said he was raising the tariff on China higher again to 125%.

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later clarified that all countries except China would return to the 10% baseline tariff rate, down from the higher rates that previously shocked the markets, as negotiations take place. The pause would not apply to sector tariffs, Bessent said.

    Stocks that were heavily pressured by the trade war tensions led the comeback Wednesday afternoon. Apple and Nvidia soared more than 15% and nearly 19%, respectively. Walmart shares rallied 9.6%. Tesla shares climbed more than 22% on the back of the pause announcement.
    The precipitous fall in the stock market since last Wednesday made it ripe for a bounce back upon any piece of good news. In this case the news was very hopeful--President Trump's 90-day pause in tariffs excluding China--and was a sign that tariffs were more a bargaining chip than a permanent fixture. However, the economic landscape before last Wednesday was not especially rosy, so the odds are against the one-day relief rally to continue much longer.

    Tuesday, April 08, 2025

    Great American Success Story

    (Photo: NASA/Zuma Press/WSJ)
    41-year-old Jonny Kim is the epitome of the Great American success story. Born in Los Angeles to South Korean immigrants, he has been embraced by Asian-Americans, who also dread comparisons with him by their parents. [bold added]
    In half a lifetime, Jonny Kim has achieved the American dream three times over. He was a Navy SEAL. Then he graduated from Harvard Medical School. And on Tuesday, he blasted off as part of his latest act: astronaut.

    When novelist Wesley Chu first learned about Kim, a 41-year-old father of three who is also a Navy pilot, his first reaction was awe.

    His second: “Thank God my mom is not friends with his mom.”

    After word of his feats spread, Kim became a global source of inspiration. And yet, to many of the same people who glance at his résumé and can’t help but compare it to theirs, he has also conjured up a bit of another feeling.

    Dismay.

    This has been especially true in the Asian-American community, where Kim, the son of South Korean immigrants, has been simultaneously lauded as a hero—and feared, only half-jokingly, as “every Asian kid’s worst nightmare.”

    The worry: No matter what they achieve, their high-demanding immigrant parents will say Jonny Kim already did that—only better. “We accomplished all this stuff, but really, it’s what he did that matters,” Chu said.

    Kim became an internet meme among Asian Americans, who frequently take to social media to express gratitude that he’s not a relative. NASA’s social-media posts about Kim are flooded with comments expressing similar sentiments. “As a fellow Asian, I hope my parents do not get to read this. But, safe journey my man,” one wrote.
    His childhood was marked by tragedy:
    It all started with trauma during his childhood in Los Angeles. Kim said he witnessed his father, who he described as alcoholic and abusive, pull a gun on their family. Police shot his father dead in their attic.

    His desire to physically protect his mother and brother led him to become a Navy SEAL. But an Ultimate Frisbee ankle injury delayed his plan to join the Navy as an operations specialist. When he recovered, a recruiter steered him toward becoming a medic.

    In 2005, Kim joined SEAL Team Three, serving as a medic and sniper, among other roles. He earned a Silver Star and a Bronze Star for treating wounded comrades during two tours in Iraq, an experience that motivated him to attend medical school.
    No matter how successful, we eventually meet someone who is better than we are in our field of endeavor. (My revelation occurred in college.) Jonny Kim has yet to meet that person.

    Monday, April 07, 2025

    Hillsdale Mall: Food Destination

    Hot Dog on a Stick is no longer at Hillsdale (Flickr)
    When we moved to Foster City at the end of the '70's the Peninsula, except for tony towns like Hillsborough and Atherton, was decidedly middle class. We shopped at Hillsdale Mall in San Mateo for most of our non-grocery needs. At Sears we repaired our cars and bought Kenmore washing machines, dryers, and refrigerators. We went to Macy's for fancier clothes and personal items than could be found at Sears.

    The food court was just a place to grab a bite in between stores. Burger King and Panda Express were popular, but I liked Hot Dog on a Stick; the dough-wrapped dog's crispy exterior dipped in mustard and a fresh lemonade hit the spot.

    Over the years Peninsula shopping centers have either been demolished for housing or have been remodeled to appeal to upscale clientele.

    Hillsdale's design renovation and new restaurants has been met with approval by SFGate food reporter Susana Guerrero:
    When a bamboo basket of brightly colored soup dumplings arrives at my table inside Palette Tea Garden restaurant, I can’t help but marvel at the transformation of Hillsdale Shopping Center.

    Palette's dumplings (SFGate)
    The large Cantonese restaurant, which opened this second Bay Area outpost, its first outside of San Francisco, in 2020, is among a wave of new eateries that have planted roots at the bustling Peninsula mall in recent years. The 71-year-old San Mateo mall has been on a steady remodeling kick since at least 2016, when it tore out its dated food court. In 2018, it unveiled an elegant dining terrace that featured new restaurants like Blue Whale Poke Bar & Grill, Kuro-Obi ramen bar and thve Bay Area’s first Uncle Tetsu Japanese Cheesecake.

    Just outside the dining terrace, Hillsdale gained a Shake Shack and the Refuge, which has been featured on Guy Fieri’s “Diners, Drive-ins, and Dives.” With new additions like Michelin-recognized Flores and the all-you-can-eat restaurant Mikiya Wagyu Shabu House, which opened earlier this year, it’s no longer the mall of my childhood.
    Hillsdale's restaurants and food court are now a destination rather than an afterthought. Over the past year I've gone to the mall to dine more often than to shop.

    Sunday, April 06, 2025

    Green Shoots

    Passing the peace
    Your humble blogger is an inveterate optimist. Young families are starting to come (back) to church, and I wonder if a decades-long declining-attendance trend has finally been reversed. Could this be another Great Awakening? America experiences a religious revival every century or so.

    I'm also confident that the stock market will rebound, though it's likely not going to happen this week. We underestimate the resilience and adaptabiity of American companies, who will be able to ride out this storm until tariffs are reduced, either through negotiation or pressure from the President's own supporters.

    It's been less than one week that the new tariff policy has been in effect, and if someone had said that a Presidential announcement of a non-military nature had erased $6.6 trillion in stock market value in two trading days I wouldn't have believed him.

    Tariffs have been called a self-inflicted wound; well, if it could be done by one man then it could be undone by him if the pain becomes unbearable.

    Speaking of self-inflicted wounds, I am glad to see that Americans are coming to their senses about decarbonization. The need for energy has escalated dramatically because of the artificial-intelligence boom, and it's futile to decommission clean-burning natural gas turbines while China is bringing on stream two coal-fired plants per week. We'll need the electricity so that our AI and robots can overcome China and other countries' advantages in labor costs.

    Amidst the stock market "wreckage" (still above the levels in 2022) I see green shoots.