The warning signs are widespread. I don't know what may trigger the fall; perhaps it will be rising interest rates, dropping tech stock prices, or fed-up tourists, but it would not be surprising to see a collapse, and an exodus of individual and business taxpayers, in San Francisco's near future.The data now confirm what reason says should be happening.
Thursday CBS Headline: San Francisco Bay Area Experiences Mass Exodus Of Residents [bold added]
The number of people packing up and moving out of the Bay Area just hit its highest level in more than a decade...Of course people come and go from the Bay Area all the time, but for the first time in a long time, more people are leaving the Bay Area than are coming in. And the number one place in the country for out-migration is now, right here.During my career I turned down transfers out of California from two different employers. Given the same circumstances today, I would make a different decision.
Topping the list is the high cost of housing.
“You can’t even contemplate getting into the housing market here,” [Joint Venture Silicon Valley's Russell] Hancock said. “And I don’t mean just service workers, I mean highly skilled professionals. The tech elite are having a hard time affording reasonable housing in Silicon Valley. So this is difficult, this makes it very difficult for employers trying to recruit.”
[Retired engineer Carole] Dabak cites crowding, crime and politics as the reasons for her own exodus...She plans to sell her home for about $1 million, buy a much larger place near Nashville for less than half that and retire closer to family and friends.
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