Friday, July 26, 2024

Needing a Lot of Gold to Live in the Golden State

Retirement here is excellent
if you have enough money.
Bankrate says that California is the fourth-worst state in which to retire:
The analysis ranked states based on five categories: affordability, overall well-being, the cost and quality of health care, weather and crime. Affordability accounted for the largest share of a state’s ranking at 40%, while crime was the smallest, at 5%.

With this methodology, California ranked 47 out of the 50 states, largely due to its high cost of living. The state ranked 50th on the affordability scale, which took several data points into account, including cost of living, state and local sales taxes, property taxes and average cost of homeowners insurance, according to Bankrate.
The major reason that California ranks 47th is that it is the least affordable State, and affordability determines 40% of the score.

If one has a paid-up house and an adequate nest egg, California would rank much higher. Living on the Peninsula, we have access to excellent medical care within 30 miles (Stanford, Sutter Health, UCSF), the weather is mild all year, and crime and homelessness are controlled much better than in San Francisco and San Jose. Unless conditions worsen dramatically, these retirees will be staying put.

Thursday, July 25, 2024

Paris in the summer when it sizzles

To those of us who followed the news 21 years ago, the French heat wave was an eye-opener: [bold added]
It was an unprecedented heatwave, which saw hospital services overwhelmed, fatalities rapidly counted by the dozens – if not hundreds – in hospitals and retirement homes, a health minister procrastinating at his holiday resort, and a government was slow to act....from August 2 to 17, 2003, France experienced its most prolonged and intense heatwave in the hottest summer since 1950. It was also the most deadly, claiming the lives of 15,000 people in a fortnight.
Trocadero Fountains, 2019 (CBS News)
After 2003 heat waves have been taken very seriously, and safety protocols (cooling centers, wellness checks) have been implemented.

Headline: Paris Wanted a Green Olympics. Team USA Wants Air Conditioning.
The organizers of the Summer Games, in their efforts to be friendlier to the environment, chose not to install air conditioning.

For much of the world, a few fitful nights of sweating in front of open windows is simply a reality of summer. But some Olympians are more reliant on climate control than others—namely the members of Team USA.

They are now discovering what generations of American tourists have encountered on their European vacations: When you ask for A/C in France, you’re more likely to receive a giant Gallic shrug.
Although athletes' quarters have been engineered to be cooler than non-A/C rooms (cold water circulates beneath the floors), portable air conditioners are available at extra cost.
But for those athletes who remain unconvinced and worry about their performance being derailed by sleeping in sweatbox apartments, Paris 2024 has made air conditioning units available for hire. And there are no gold medals for guessing which delegation leads the way.

The 592-strong Team USA delegation isn’t risking the slightest discomfort. Every single U.S. room and some common areas have been equipped with portable A/C units, according to a spokesman for the U.S. Olympic & Paralympic Committee. The Americans will all be able to take on any Paris heat wave by hanging out in meat-locker conditions, even though temperatures over the next 10 days aren’t expected to top 90.
I don't blame the athletes for removing all possible impediments to their performance. Unlike the one-percenters who always use private planes, the U.S. Olympians at least have a good reason for setting aside the global-warming principles the elite espouse for the rest of us.

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

MEI, not DEI

(Image from Diversio/Linkedin)
There's a new Human Resources acronym to learn about: [bold added]
From tech to tractors, companies are dialing back diversity, equity and inclusion efforts. Instead, a DEI alternative endorsed by Elon Musk could alter the fate of your next job application.

It’s known as MEI, short for merit, excellence and intelligence. As described by Scale AI Chief Executive Alexandr Wang, who helped popularize the term, MEI means hiring the best candidates for open roles without considering demographics.
The George Floyd riots of 2020 kickstarted the whole Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion movement, and companies raced to install DEI programs that would diversify their work forces, diversity being typically measured by the number of people they would hire who were not white, straight males.

Four years later the lack of a return--or perhaps even a negative return--on their investment have caused some companies to renounce DEI in favor of merit-based personnel policies.

Your humble blogger finds it important to note that one major organization that wholeheartedly embraces DEI is government, which has few performance metrics and no competition to show whether an alternative might be better.

By the way, expect DEI to be a hot-button topic this election year:
That tension is now in the brightest of spotlights, after President Biden abandoned his re-election bid and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Biden picked Harris as his running mate four years ago, after vowing to consider only women for the job. Almost immediately, some political opponents began painting Harris, who is Black and South Asian, as a “DEI hire.”
Fox News:
Florida Democratic Rep. Maxwell Frost said on Tuesday that calling Vice President Harris, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, a "DEI hire" was like using a "racial slur."
The race card has already been played, and there's still over three months to go to the election.

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

The Importance of Being Regular

(Image from youholistic)
The "normal" frequency of bowel movements ranges from three times a week to three times a day:[bold added]
The authors examined the health and lifestyle data of more than 1,400 healthy adults who had participated in a scientific wellness program at Arivale, a consumer health company that operated from 2015 to 2019 in Seattle. Participants, nearly 83% of whom were White, answered questionnaires and consented to blood and stool sampling.

Self-reported bowel movement frequency was separated into four groups: constipation (one or two bowel movements per week), low-normal (three to six weekly), high-normal (one to three per day) and diarrhea.
Unsurprisingly, both long-term constipation and diarrhea result in health problems:
The authors also found that several blood metabolites and blood plasma chemistries were linked with different frequencies. Byproducts of protein fermentation such as p-Cresol-sulfate and indoxyl sulfate, known to cause kidney damage, were enriched in constipated participants. Blood levels of indoxyl sulfate were also associated with reduced kidney function. And chemistries linked with liver damage were higher in people with diarrhea, who also had more inflammation.
We need to overcome our squeamishness about gastrointestinal problems because they could be indicators of life-threatening conditions in other parts of the body.

Monday, July 22, 2024

California Not-so-Forever

Aerial rendering from California Forever (SFGate)
California Forever's plans to build a utopian city in Solano County have suffered a setback. The group pulled its November ballot measure: [bold added]
that measure, if passed, would have removed some zoning restrictions that prevent this type of development in the area.

California Forever will instead "submit an application for a General Plan & Zoning Amendment and proceed with the normal County process which includes preparation of a full Environmental Impact Report and the negotiation and execution of Development Agreement,” Solano County Board of Supervisors Chair Mitch Mashburn said in a statement Monday.

The news was celebrated by many in Solano County, where skepticism about the project ran deep. The group’s secretive purchases of huge tracts of land first brought about national security fears, even from local politicians, who had no idea who was behind the project. When the plan to build a futuristic city was announced, California Forever faced widespread pushback, ranging from concerns about billionaire backers like Reid Hoffman and Laurene Powell Jobs to questions about the impacts on traffic, water usage and proximity to Travis Air Force Base.
Almost every Californian involved in a construction project groans under the entanglement of red tape, and the billionaire investor group is no exception.

Reid Hoffman and Laurene Powell Jobs are ardent supporters of the Democratic Party--most recently they have pledged support to Kamala Harris' Presidential run--implying that they want to spread California's Progressive principles to the rest of the country.

However, when it comes to their business, they can't stand living under those strictures either.

Sunday, July 21, 2024

"endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights"

Trump supporters pray at the site of the
assassination attempt Saturday. (WSJ)
While there has been a great amount of contemporary controversy surrounding the appropriateness of religion in the public square, there is no question that one of the founding documents of the United States of America was based on Christian principles: [bold added]
There is ample precedent for a religious interpretation of the Declaration. On July 4, 1821, Secretary of State John Quincy Adams described it as the culmination of a Christian revolution. In “theories of the crown and the mitre,” Adams proposed, “man had no rights.” The discovery of inalienable liberty of conscience in matters of doctrine led to a re-evaluation of man’s obligation to ecclesiastical and civil powers. Whig reformers took tentative steps against “the oppressors of church and state” in Britain but still saw freedom as a privilege. The natural basis of rights was recognized only in America, where the government was founded on “a social compact formed upon the elementary principles of civil society, in which conquest and servitude had no part.”

...Adams’s words remind us that reconciliation has always been a feature of the American enterprise. We’d do well to heed his encouragement “to bless the Author of our being for the bounties of his providence, in casting our lot in this favored land; to remember with effusions of gratitude the sages who put forth, and the heroes who bled for the establishment of this Declaration.”

One doesn’t need to be a Christian nationalist to believe something miraculous happened in Philadelphia in 1776. Yet appreciation for that event should make even secular Americans wonder whether there are forces at work in history that transcend human understanding.
The Bible cites frequent instances of God's intervention in the affairs of man. His absence in the modern era--if He didn't stop the Holocaust of the Chosen People, when will He intervene?--lends credence to the notion that the Bible's examples were greatly exaggerated, or even imaginary, and/or that God has chosen to be aloof.

Every now and then a miracle occurs--the Founders' creation of a governing structure that lasted over 200 years, the clearing of the weather on D-Day, or the split-second turning of Donald Trump's head--resurrects the idea that God watches over the United States of America. Your humble blogger doesn't quite believe it either, but it's comforting to know that it's a possibility.

And now, for your edification, here is ChatGPT's take:

What evidence is there that the United States of America is a Christian nation?

The question of whether the United States is a Christian nation is complex and can be approached from various perspectives: historical, cultural, legal, and demographic. Here are some points often cited as evidence supporting the idea that the U.S. has Christian foundations:

Historical Evidence

1. Founding Fathers' Beliefs: Many of the Founding Fathers, including George Washington, John Adams, and Thomas Jefferson, were influenced by Christian ideals. Some of their writings reflect Christian values.

2. Colonial Charters and State Constitutions: Early colonial charters and state constitutions often referenced Christianity and required officeholders to be Christians.

3. Declaration of Independence: The Declaration of Independence references a "Creator" and "Nature's God," which some interpret as aligning with Christian beliefs.

Cultural Evidence

1. Major Holidays: Christmas and Easter, both Christian holidays, are national holidays.

2. Pledge of Allegiance: The Pledge of Allegiance includes the phrase "under God," which was added during the Cold War era.

3. In God We Trust: This phrase is the national motto and appears on U.S. currency.

Legal Evidence

1. Supreme Court Rulings: Some Supreme Court rulings, especially in the 19th and early 20th centuries, made references to the U.S. being a "Christian nation" in dicta (statements made in decisions that are not legally binding).

2. Chaplains in Government: Both the U.S. Congress and the military have chaplains who are predominantly Christian.

Demographic Evidence

1. Population: A significant majority of Americans identify as Christian. According to various surveys, the percentage has been decreasing but remains a majority.

Counterpoints

1. Constitutional Secularism: The U.S. Constitution does not establish a national religion and includes the Establishment Clause, which prohibits the government from making any law “respecting an establishment of religion.”

2. Diversity of Belief: The U.S. is home to a wide variety of religions and belief systems, and religious freedom is a foundational principle.

3. Founding Fathers' Intent: While many Founding Fathers were influenced by Christian ideals, they were also influenced by Enlightenment thinking and intended to create a secular government.

In summary, while there are many elements of American history, culture, and law that reflect Christian influences, the U.S. was explicitly founded with a separation of church and state, and it is home to a diverse array of religious beliefs.

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Oahu No Ka Oi

Oahu is the cheapest, hands down (Merc)
The answer has long been obvious, even if the visitor doesn't have a free "hotel" and car like your humble blogger:

What’s the cheapest Hawaiian island to visit? [bold added]
Of the four main Hawaiian islands for tourism — Oahu, Maui, Kauai and the Big Island — Oahu is the cheapest Hawaiian island to visit by multiple metrics. Oahu has the lowest daily average hotel room rate of the islands and the lowest average daily spending per tourist, according to May 2024 data from the Hawai‘i Tourism Authority.

Though the average room rate in May 2024 across all of Hawaii was $342, Oahu hotel rooms average about 21% less, coming in at $272. That translates to about $70 per night less than the average...

One reason for Oahu’s lowest average room rate? The island also has the biggest supply. In fact, Oahu had more than double the number of hotel room nights than Maui, the next closest contender...

So why is spending on Oahu lower than on other islands? Not only are there more hotels, but also more restaurants and other types of businesses. According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau data, Honolulu County in Oahu had more than 21,000 businesses in 2020, while Maui County in Maui had fewer than 5,000. The increased competition lowers prices for consumers.

There’s also just a lot of free and cheap stuff to do on Oahu. Many of the top activities — including visiting the Pearl Harbor National Memorial, lounging on Waikiki Beach and hiking the MakapuÊ»u Point Lighthouse Trail — are free. It costs just $5 per person to enter Diamond Head State Monument (though it’s an additional $10 for parking).

And because of Honolulu’s robust bus network and walkability, it’s easy to get around Honolulu without a rental car. For places more difficult to get to, it’s possible to rent a car for just a day or rely on rideshare services like Uber or Lyft.
I use my parents' house and Nissan Altima when I go to Oahu, so I'm able to keep the trip cost to under $1,000 including plane fare. Even so, I typically only use the car to visit Mom in assisted living and like to spend my free time hoofing it around Waikiki and Ala Moana, where there are many quality, inexpensive restaurants.

Some of my friends, whom I like despite their snootiness, only go to the Neighbor Islands. I'm not ashamed to say that this middle-class kid prefers Oahu.

Friday, July 19, 2024

More Dependence Means More Vulnerability

The blue screen of death (SFGate)
The Microsoft Windows "blue screen of death" appeared on many thousands of computers worldwide and disrupted operations of a broad swath of major industries, including airlines, banks, and hospitals. The culprit wasn't a hacker but a software update issued by the cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike.
The outage, one of the most momentous in recent memory, crippled computers worldwide and drove home the brittleness of the interlaced global software systems that we rely on.

Triggered by an errant software update from the cybersecurity company CrowdStrike , the disruption spread as most people on the U.S. East Coast were asleep and those in Asia were starting their days.

Over the course of less than 80 minutes before CrowdStrike stopped it, the update sailed into Microsoft Windows-based computers worldwide, turning corporate laptops into unusable bricks and paralyzing operations at restaurants, media companies and other businesses. U.S. 911 call centers were disrupted, Amazon.com employees’ corporate email system went on the fritz, and tens of thousands of global flights were delayed or canceled.

“In my 30-year technical career, this is by far the biggest impact I’ve ever seen,” said B.J. Moore, chief information officer for the Renton, Wash.-based healthcare system Providence, whose hospitals struggled to access patient records, perform surgeries and conduct CT scans.

Fixing the problem involved technical steps that confounded many users who aren’t tech-savvy. Some corporate IT departments were still working to unfreeze computer systems late on Friday. CrowdStrike said the outage isn’t a cyberattack.
Unfortunately, restarting computers and removing the offending software had to be done manually---skills well within the capability of Windows users 30 years ago but unfortunately lacking in the majority of users today. (An analogy is being able to understand the basic workings of an automobile and effecting some minor repairs versus being totally helpless if anything should go wrong with one's car.)
IT teams often can fix problems on employees’ computers using remote-access software—tools that became especially common during the work-from-home boom of the pandemic. But for laptops and other PCs that approach doesn’t work if the machines can’t restart. For those systems, CrowdStrike’s fix had to be done in person—either by a tech-support person on site, or by a regular employee trying to apply the instructions.
Another aspect of resilience is being able to perform one's basic job functions if the computers--which after all were once regarded as just a tool--go down.

Speaking as one who used to close the books, make the payroll, invoice the customers, and pay the bills with an adding machine, a pen, and a typewriter, I am appalled by accountants who lack basic knowledge of the functioning of accounting systems.

Maybe this CrowdStrike incident will be a wake-up call to companies who don't want to risk their existence on the computers always working.

Thursday, July 18, 2024

No Wonder the Courts Are Clogged

The basis of the lawsuit (Chron photo)
Your humble blogger, a non-lawyer, has viewed with aghast the burgeoning laws and regulations that over his lifetime "growed like Topsy".

And there's no natural brake to this phenomenon. A wrong or injustice is noted, some citizens cry "there ought to be a law", and the legislature responds. Presto, a law is created which governs a human activity that was heretofore outside the legal system's ambit.

Is it any wonder that the courts are backlogged?

A 7 year-old girl handed a drawing to a classmate, a lawsuit resulted, and the case may be appealed all the way to the U.S. Supreme Court.[bold added]
A California 7-year-old was banned from drawing pictures at school and forced to sit out recess for two weeks for adding “any life” below Black Lives Matter on a picture she drew and gave to a Black friend, punishments that led to a federal lawsuit.

At the core of the case, which could see its way to the Supreme Court, is a simple question: Do first graders have First Amendment rights? ...

What happened at Viejo Elementary School three years ago is undisputed. The student, identified as B.B., drew the picture, which also included four colored-in ovals representing herself and three friends, after a lesson on Martin Luther King, Jr., and gave it to her friend, M.C., who took it home, where her mother saw it.

The mother emailed the school, saying she wouldn’t “tolerate any more messages given to M.C. at school because of her skin color” and that she ‘trust(ed)’ the school would address the issue,” according to court records.

The principal confronted B.B. and told her the drawing was “inappropriate” and “racist” and that she couldn’t draw at school anymore and had to apologize to her friend. When she returned to class, her teachers told her she was not allowed to play at recess for two weeks.

A year after the incident, B.B.’s mother learned of her punishments and later sued the school district and administrators, claiming her daughter’s First Amendment rights were violated. She lost in the district court.

[Defense attorney Caleb] Trotter said he believes the judge erred in the fact that the drawing was not disruptive and then relied on a New York Times article, which was not part of the case record, to deem the “any life” part of the drawing as offensive, associating it with the “all lives matter” controversy.

“Testimony in this case clearly shows neither student knew any of what this meant,” Trotter said. “The school created this situation by introducing these adult topics.”
The legal issue at hand is whether then-7-year-old "B.B." has any free-speech rights, and the District Court ruled against her (really, her parents, who had sued the school district for suspending her). But the school district, IMHO, should never have introduced the Black Lives matter/All Lives matter dispute into a second-grade class, then punished a student for her misunderstanding of the subtleties.

According to the people who are eager to find offensiveness under every rock, "any life" is an allusion to "all lives matter", which reveals the racism of the writer or speaker. For the school district to a) buy into this interpretation and b) punish the 7-year-old for her bad thinking is a gross overstep of in loco parentis. For your humble blogger the removal of identity-politics ideology from public education, especially elementary schools, can't come too soon.

Wednesday, July 17, 2024

Helen at 101

Helen holds the newest twig on her family
tree, Hanzo, born June 3rd.
One year ago we gathered in Hawaii to celebrate Helen's 100th birthday.

This year, with most of the attendees traveling, we conferenced on Zoom. Everyone took turns reminiscing about favorite memories of Helen.

When talking with the nonagenarians and centenarians in my family, I've found that they are especially pleased when we mention moments that everyone, maybe even they, had forgotten. These moments are concrete evidence that they will be remembered after they're gone, proof that their lives had meaning.

May I be so lucky.

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

The Education Bureaucracy's Priorities Aren't Yours

Mercury News graphic: Bay Area students can book an
SAT reservation at least an hour's drive away in the spring.
Many students won't know where they're admitted,
much less if they have financial aid, until they graduate.
Now that some top colleges are requiring standardized admissions tests, there's a shortage of test sites, as we noted four months ago:
Fewer than half of the schools that served as testing centers before the pandemic have returned
Since many California educators subscribe to the ideology that testing is racist and inequitable, that ideology is probably a factor in their dragging their feet on resuming "School Day" testing, where the test is held at the students' school on a weekday. Some test-takers have to travel out-of-town on weekends in order to sit for the exam, which, of course, adds to the stress and inequity for students who can't afford to do so.

Some high-achieving but underprivileged students want to better their lives by going to and winning scholarships at out-of-state colleges, but educators won't support testing because they think they know what's better for the students than the students themselves.
With total education expenditures of $109 billion (nearly $24,000 per pupil), Californians might suppose the money could be found to support some of our best and brightest students for one day, but the educators have other priorities, like teaching the racist history of the United States or pushing gender transitioning on impressionable children. Meanwhile, parents must spend hours trying to reserve a seat at testing sites. [bold added]
But as elite schools like Stanford, Caltech, Harvard and Yale reverse their test-optional policies, Bay Area students attempting to take the SAT before college applications are due this winter might have to travel several hours or even out of state to nab a coveted spot — an especially challenging situation for lower-income students.

A recent search by a reporter of SAT testing centers through the College Board found disheartening results. Seats for the August, October and November testing dates were fully booked within 100 miles of San Jose and San Francisco, while just a handful of seats remained for the December and March exams — most of which were in locations several hours away, in cities like Sacramento, Sonora and Folsom.

...The College Board blamed the lack of availability on host schools unwilling to staff and run weekend test centers, but others pointed to low pay for proctors and schools ditching the testing requirement
To be fair,
Some Bay Area districts — including Dublin Unified and San Jose Unified — participate in “SAT School Day,” a designated day where high school juniors and seniors can take the test during class time. Some districts even offer it at no-cost.

But the College Board said most California schools do not participate in the program, which accounts for the majority of the tests administered nationwide.
It's fair to say that the majority of California schools exist to serve their administrators and teachers' unions, not their students.

Monday, July 15, 2024

J.D. Vance

(Senate.gov photo)
Earlier today Donald Trump announced John David ("J.D.") Vance as his running mate. Your humble blogger, who doesn't pay much attention to who's who in national politics, will start learning about J.D. Vance by tackling his 2016 best-selling memoir, Hillbilly Elegy.

If elected, J.D. Vance, who will turn 40 on August 2nd, will be the third youngest vice president in American history behind John Breckinridge (37) and Richard Nixon (40), who assumed office in 1857 and 1960, respectively.

Here are the WSJ's "Five Things to Know About J.D. Vance."
1. He gained prominence as a bestselling author. “Hillbilly Elegy,” a rumination on the problems facing his hometown and growing up in working-class America, became a commercial smash, and later was a Ron Howard-directed film. The memoir helped Vance pitch himself to voters as he began to rise in politics.

2. He used to be a critic of Trump. Vance in 2016 said Trump could be “America’s Hitler.” But since then, the senator has morphed into a strong ally of Trump. He has echoed Trump’s false claims that the 2020 election was rigged.

3. He was in the Marine Corps. Vance joined the Marines after high school, and he has said that the experience gave him a distaste for unnecessary foreign entanglements. In the Senate, Vance has helped lead the opposition to foreign aid for Ukraine. Trump, for his part, wasn’t as aggressive as Vance on the issue.

4. He has only been in Congress for two years. Vance, 39 years old, was elected to the Senate in 2022. He defeated Tim Ryan, a Democrat and longtime Ohio representative, for the seat. Trump endorsed Vance in that election, helping him win during a crowded election cycle.

5. He was also a venture capitalist and knows wealthy donors. Before coming to Congress, Vance graduated from the Ohio State University and Yale Law School, and was a principal at venture capitalist Peter Thiel’s firm in 2016 and 2017. Thiel spent millions on Vance’s Senate run. Those relationships have helped him hold his own among influential political donors.
Given Donald Trump's age (78), there is a distinct probability that J.D. Vance could become President in the next four years. Of course, the same thing may be said about Kamala Harris, 58, given the infirmities of President Biden, 81.

Sunday, July 14, 2024

Reflection and Gratitude

Austin Rios
Letter from Marc Andrus, Bishop of the Episcopal Diocese of California, and his successor, Austin Rios:
Dear beloved friends in Christ,

While it is unclear exactly what happened at the campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, we are relieved that former President Trump is reported to be safe. However, we are deeply saddened to learn that a member of the audience was killed. As more information emerges, we decry all violence that threatens human life, and certainly the lives of those who put themselves forward in our democratic, political processes. These processes must be safe, and the people who run for election, and those who surround them with their support, must be able to do so without fear. Please join me in praying for the soul of the life that was lost, former President Trump, and our country.

Join us in praying:
Eternal God, in whose perfect kingdom no sword is drawn but the sword of righteousness, no strength known but the strength of love: So mightily spread abroad your Spirit, that all peoples may be gathered under the banner of the Prince of Peace, as children of one Father; to whom be dominion and glory, now and for ever. Amen.
As I've been observing for 12 years, the political leanings of Episcopal priests and bishops are overwhelmingly aligned with the Progressive wing of the Democratic Party.

However, never once have I heard any member of the clergy advocate violence to further political goals. On this day of reflection and gratitude, let us continue to pray for peace and see the humanity in each other.

Saturday, July 13, 2024

America Dodged a Bullet

Bloodied but unbowed (AP photo)
Here's what we know at 10 PM Eastern Daylight Time, according to the WSJ:
A suspected shooter fired multiple times toward the stage in Butler, Pa., where former President Donald Trump was holding a campaign rally Saturday, according to the U.S. Secret Service. The shooting occurred at approximately 6:15 p.m. Here’s what we know so far:
  • Secret Service personnel “neutralized” the suspected shooter, who is now dead, according to Anthony Guglielmi, chief of communications for the bureau.
  • The shooter was firing from an elevated position outside the rally venue. Witnesses said he was on a roof.
  • One spectator was killed and two others were critically injured in the incident, which is under investigation as an attempted assassination.
  • Trump has said on social media that he was shot in the upper right ear.
  • He was rushed to a medical facility for evaluation; his campaign said he was fine.
  • An “AR-style rifle” was recovered at the scene, law enforcement officials said.
  • President Biden was briefed on the shooting and was “grateful to hear” that Trump is safe.
  • The shots rang out about 10 minutes into Trump’s speech at a fairground 35 miles north of Pittsburgh. Secret Service members jumped to the stage and surrounded Trump, leading him away. Photos and video showed blood on Trump’s ear and face.
  • Thousands of people attended the rally, which came just two days before the Republican National Convention begins in Milwaukee, where Trump will formally become the party’s nominee.
  • As a former president, Trump continues to receive Secret Service protection. As a result, his rallies involve intense security protocols, with attendees being restricted to carrying only small bags and having to pass through metal detectors when they arrive.
  • Tragic as the deaths and injuries are, the outcome could have been much worse. Had the gunman's aim not been off by an inch, or had former President Trump not turned his head at the last second, the assassination of Donald Trump might well have triggered a real civil war.

    Such a "war" would perhaps be not as violent as the 19th-century version but one that could have resulted in open defiance by individuals, even entire States, of a Federal Government against which grievances have been building for at least a decade.

    Do you think January 6 was an insurrection? Despite the rhetoric, that wasn't one, and if we're lucky we won't find out what a real one looks like.

    Friday, July 12, 2024

    It's Not Your Money, Peggy

    (WSJ graphic)
    Peggy Noonan, former speechwriter for Ronald Reagan, encourages Democrats to "embrace the chaos." [bold added]
    The romantic route is to take personal responsibility and push the president to step aside. What follows is the Hail Mary pass: Say a prayer, throw the long ball and see who catches it. Devise a process—mini-primaries, open convention, figure it out—that lets the people of the party decide. Devise a formula whereby delegates can choose from five or six candidates. But open this thing up, anoint no one.

    Elected officials, operatives and donors can’t in some grand cabal choose Ms. Harris as the directed heir. The country won’t respect it. Many in the party will resent it. They think she’ll lose. In four years she has, according to consistent polling, left most of the nation unimpressed. The Democratic establishment, such as it is, lost credibility by previously insisting on Mr. Biden when they could see he was impaired, and by blocking primary challenges. They can’t block all challengers again.

    The vice president is never just “given” the presidency when he or she runs. They have always had to fight for it.

    “It’s Kamala or chaos.” Then take chaos: Have the fight you fear. “We’ll have an intraparty war.” Then have it. “But Jeffrey Katzenberg says—” Whatever he says, do the opposite.

    Ms. Harris deserves to be in the pool of candidates. Beyond that she can fight like everyone else.

    The romantics are right and are seeing the situation clearly. They aren’t innocent: They understand the chaos that will ensue. But they know what U.S. forces in Afghanistan and Iraq used to say: “Embrace the suck.” Open this up, take a chance. You may electrify America.
    Ms. Noonan harks back to 1948, when the Democratic Party saw two major factions, the Progressives and the Southern segregationists, leave the tent. Against all odds, "give 'em hell" Harry Truman revived his campaign and won the election. She urges Democrats, who face risky decisions to "go for broke."
    But Democrats should be Democrats again. When everything in your world is about to change, reach back to your old, best self.

    Admit the chaos, own it, open this thing up, go for broke.
    Democratic politicans and commentators often write op-eds about what struggling Republicans should do, and Republicans routinely ignore such advice. Now that the situation is reversed, Democrats will probably do likewise.

    Thursday, July 11, 2024

    Comedy: is the Dam Breaking?

    I stopped watching late-night comedy in 2009.

    During the first decade (the "oughts") of the 21st century the jokes became more political and vicious, almost exclusively against Republicans and the Bush Administration. (Gone were the gentle chidings of Johnny Carson and Jay Leno, who focused on the personal foibles of politicians of all stripes.) Indeed, some of the fare was funny, but my laughter died down after the same jokes were told every weeknight for eight years.

    In 2008 Barack Obama and the Democrats won landslide victories. They didn't need to compromise with Republicans on anything.

    In 2009 I thought we'd start hearing jokes about the all-powerful Democrats, as comedians would follow the liberal mantra of comforting the afflicted and afflicting the comfortable. Instead, a year after Democrats won the election
    David Letterman, Stephen Colbert, and Jon Stewart still choose to joke about Sarah Palin and Dick Cheney's miscues but largely ignore the rich lode of material produced daily by this Administration.
    The comics and their writers did their part by refraining to criticize President Obama for eight years, attacking Donald Trump throughout his Presidency, then laying off Joe Biden for three years as he deteriorated visibly after his election. In early 2024 they were still holding the line.
    A new study from the Media Research Center found that 81% of all political jokes told on major late-night comedy shows in 2023 targeted conservatives.

    The media watchdog analyzed each of the 9,518 political jokes told between six major daily late-night shows from January 3 through December 22, 2023, and found that 7,729 of them took aim at “someone or something on the right side of the political spectrum.”

    The shows analyzed were ABC’s “Jimmy Kimmel Live!,” Comedy Central’s “The Daily Show,” NBC’s “Late Night with Seth Meyers,” NBC’s “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon”, CBS’s “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” and “The Late Late Show with James Corden” (until its cancelation in April).
    After Joe Biden made his senility obvious at the June 27th Presidential debate, there is no agreed-upon Democratic narrative to protect. Comedians can now direct their cruelties against Democrats (except for Kamala Harris, who may well become the party's nominee ).

    Jon Stewart's monologue was something that I've been waiting for over 20 years.

    Wednesday, July 10, 2024

    A Good Idea, but They Didn't Ask Permission

    (Chronicle photo)
    Last week we wrote about how the Hillsborough "Flintstone" House will become open to the public for a short period as a high-end sushi restaurant.

    Your humble blogger wondered why the snooty community would allow such commercial use, especially since the property's owner, Florence Fang, had a history of disputes with her neighbors about the use and appearance of the house. Now that shoe has dropped.
    On Friday, the Hillsborough Police Department sent the owner of the Flintstone House, Florence Fang, a letter warning her that the sushi business could be in violation of the town’s zoning ordinance.

    “Restaurants and other commercial uses are not permitted in a residential zone, even on a temporary basis,” wrote Linda Stevens, code enforcement officer for Hillsborough police. “You and the restaurateurs may not have been aware that this use would be illegal. Since you are now on notice about this restriction, please inform the operators that they may not open for business.”

    In a statement, the owners of Stoneage Omakase said the business has been “incorrectly classified as a restaurant, which has led to this misunderstanding. We look forward to working with the city to resolve this issue.”
    The business owners said that the food will be catered, not cooked on premises. In the meantime, reservations will be canceled and any deposits returned.

    Hillsborough, the home of the descendants of Bing Crosby and William Randolph Hearst, doesn't sound like a fun, welcoming place, and I'm sure the town likes to encourage that impression.

    Tuesday, July 09, 2024

    Still Second Place

    A problem that concerns approximately zero percent of the American population: some Manhattan Ivy League social clubs can't attract new members and are shutting down: [bold added]
    New York’s storied Ivy League club circuit dates back to the 19th century. For years, these membership organizations were considered among the most prestigious in the country.

    These days, say alumni and former members, the clubs have fallen out of fashion. The venues are victims of dated decor, mediocre food and in some cases lingering dress codes—for most of their histories, these clubs have required men to wear coats and ties—out of step with young alums.
    It appears that the Yale Club will do almost anything to stay in business:
    The Yale Club changed its admission process to accept members without an affiliation to the university. Most anyone can now apply to the club if she or he has the endorsement of at least two members, according to a club document.

    ...Still, the clubs have loosened their rules to some degree over the past several years. For decades, dress codes have been a fault line between older and younger alumni. In 1999, the Yale Club became the first of Manhattan’s Ivy clubs to allow casual dress on Friday in an attempt to attract younger members and creatives.

    The Yale Club today allows jeans throughout the clubhouse, and the Harvard Club now permits “casual attire”—except in two of its main halls after 5 p.m.
    The Harvard Club:  inviting guests is a good way
    to let them know you went there.
    Harvard has the oldest (1865) and wealthiest social club, and its membership is one of the few that appears to be growing. Yale's social club, as the New Haven university does in other areas of endeavor, is trying to keep up with Harvard's.

    Your humble blogger thinks that Yale's strategy of letting anyone in is misguided. If the price of membership growth is the loss of exclusivity, the price is too high.

    "I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member."--Groucho Marx

    Monday, July 08, 2024

    Truths Don't Care Who Finds Them Inconvenient

    And now for some good news about climate change, specifically, that one of its supposedly worst effects has abated after 2021:



    The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration states why global warming harms coral reefs:
    Climate change is the greatest global threat to coral reef ecosystems. Scientific evidence now clearly indicates that the Earth's atmosphere and ocean are warming, and that these changes are primarily due to greenhouse gases derived from human activities.

    As temperatures rise, mass coral bleaching events and infectious disease outbreaks are becoming more frequent. Additionally, carbon dioxide absorbed into the ocean from the atmosphere has already begun to reduce calcification rates in reef-building and reef-associated organisms by altering seawater chemistry through decreases in pH. This process is called ocean acidification.
    Although your humble blogger is no scientist, he can tell from the language that the NOAA regards what should be a hypothesis ("Climate change = ocean change") as proven.

    A little humility from this most recent data, compiled from the Australian Institute of Marine Science, is in order from American scientists, who should be trying to explain why there's a conflict between the Australian data and the dominant climate-change narrative. My expectations for the NOAA to do so are nil, based on the gaslighting behavior of other agencies in the American government.

    Note--quotes from two 20th-century dead white males:

    Daniel Patrick Moynihan: "Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts."

    John Maynard Keynes: “When the facts change, I change my mind - what do you do, sir?”

    Sunday, July 07, 2024

    "Take Nothing for Their Journey"

    Today's reading from the Gospel of Mark, Chapter 6:
    "He ordered them to take nothing for their journey except a staff; no bread, no bag, no money in their belts; but to wear sandals and not to put on two tunics."
    The minister said that she took two lessons from Jesus' command to travel lightly: that we must have faith in a "radical dependence on God" and that we must be willing to "let go of our grip on those long-held practices and traditions that may not be helpful anymore."

    Concerning the latter, she clarified that she doesn't mean that we must throw out the liturgy and all our traditions, but that we must be open to listen to the Spirit's voice if it tells us to change.

    At this stage in my life, it's the former lesson, to leave our possessions behind, that speaks most loudly. All the financial security in the world can delay one's fate but not prevent it. In the end our accomplishments, our wealth, and any pride we might have in them mean little except more material for the obituary.

    Later in Mark, Chapter 10, Jesus is more specific (my own reflection and not part of the minister's sermon): [bold added]
    17 And when He had gone forth onto the road, there came one running, and knelt before Him and asked Him, “Good Master, what shall I do that I may inherit eternal life?”

    18 And Jesus said unto him, “Why callest thou Me good? There is none good but One, that is, God.

    19 Thou knowest the commandments: ‘Do not commit adultery, do not kill, do not steal, do not bear false witness, defraud not, honor thy father and mother.’”

    20 And he answered and said unto Him, “Master, all these have I observed from my youth.”

    21 Then Jesus, beholding him, loved him and said unto him, “One thing thou lackest: Go thy way, sell whatsoever thou hast and give to the poor, and thou shalt have treasure in Heaven; and come, take up the cross, and follow Me.”

    22 And he was sad at that saying and went away grieved, for he had great possessions.
    I am and have been that young man, unwilling to take that final step and leave all behind. Sure, there are justifications that few will quarrel with--I have to take care of my family, I don't want to be a burden to others, etc.

    But it's also true that what we thought of as a choice--to take nothing for the journey--was never in the end really a choice at all.

    Saturday, July 06, 2024

    Berries: Sweeter than Ever

    Raspberries and strawberries are sweeter than
    ever, and we replenish them 2-3 times per week.
    We've been buying berries in order to add more anti-oxidants to our diet. Initially most of them were tart (except for blueberries), and we ate them because they were good for us, not because of their taste.

    Over the past year berries of all kinds--not just popular strawberries but "blacks, ras, and blues"-- have become noticeably sweeter. Despite higher prices the market is exploding:
    The U.S. berry market is worth about $9 billion annually, which is up more than 40% over the past five years, according to NielsenIQ. Strawberries are the most popular berry, but the entire category is one of the most promising areas of growth in the entire grocery store. In fact, berries now sell twice as much as any other fruit.

    Most shoppers buy regular berries. Others splurge on organic berries. But more are now filling their carts with these luxury berries.

    If you want to know how to find them, all you have to do is look at the label—yellow for conventional berries and green for the organics. If you spot a clamshell with a Driscoll’s Sweetest Batch sticker, you’re staring at the premium brand, the finest berries of a company that trademarked the phrase “only the finest berries.”

    ...There is sticker shock in every part of the grocery store these days. But no matter how much they might cost, Americans continue to inhale berries. They’re the rare food that can be eaten for breakfast and for dessert. They’re also more snackable than most food—and most fruit. And they have one of the highest household-penetration rates in the produce aisle, according to NielsenIQ. Jonna Parker, who leads market-research firm Circana’s work on fresh foods, put it this way: “Berries are now ubiquitous.”
    Technological breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, space travel, medicine, and energy capture all the headlines, but advances in agriculture are perhaps the most impactful to our daily lives.

    Friday, July 05, 2024

    Declaring Independence....From Grilling

    The July 4th traditions notwithstanding, it was too hot to do backyard grilling--or any cooking for that matter--so yesterday we headed to Nijiya Market where there was a broad selection of take-out Japanese dishes. There were dozens of other shoppers, mainly of the Asian persuasion, who had the same idea.

    We threw sushi, ramen, salads, and barbecued chicken into the basket. We watched the fireworks from a mile away and went to bed right after. On this Independence Day we were free to engage in as much tradition as we wanted.

    Thursday, July 04, 2024

    Five Years Ago

    Five years ago July 4th was a day of personal sadness. The post is reprinted below:
    Alfred, 20, in Fukuoka (1945)
    My father died earlier this week.

    Starting the sad process of notifications and filings, we looked high and low for his discharge papers. Then we opened his wallet. Miniaturized to the size of a credit card, they commemorated events of 72 years ago. He always carried them.

    The greatest generation won a two-front war against the most powerful war machines in history, then battled a determined adversary for over 40 years, during which a misstep would have killed many millions. We owe them our independence and our very lives.

    On this Independence Day we humbly give thanks.

    Wednesday, July 03, 2024

    Not the Caveman Diet

    Bedrock architecture (Chronicle photos)
    The last time we posted about the "Flintstone" house was five years ago.

    In its latest iteration the Hillsborough home is a high-end sushi restaurant:
    Stoneage Omakase will launch July 12 with a 15-course, $230 omakase menu inside a dimly lit, cave-like private dining room at the Bay Area landmark. A temporary pop-up run by a catering company, it’s the first time the Flintstone House, which sold in 2018 for $2.8 million, has been open to the public. (It was available to rent on Airbnb in 2016.)

    The acclaimed chef behind the sushi is Masa Sasaki, who previously worked at the Michelin-star Maruya in San Francisco and his own restaurant Sasaki, both now closed. Sasaki was also slated to open a sushi bar as part of a splashy project at the Salesforce Transit Center rooftop before the plan fell apart. An Instagram video shows a menu with dishes like kurodai (black sea bream) nigiri and akami zuke (marinated tuna).
    This is an inspired use of the property. Patrons get a Michelin-quality dinner along with a tour of the house.

    I'd sign up, but Stoneage Omakase has stopped taking reservations. Here's wishing Chef Sasaki a successful, extended run.

    Tuesday, July 02, 2024

    Jiggling Too Much Can Get You Fired

    I took early retirement in the oughts when people worked in the office full time.

    Workers took computer breaks by web surfing, online shopping, and playing Solitaire. As long as we didn't engage in these activities too long or too often--there weren't specific numerical criteria--our employer didn't mind. The protocols didn't have to be spelled out, and for the most part it just took a passing manager's raised eyebrow to show where the line was.

    The phenomenon of working from home has resulted in the formalization of employee monitoring. Also, technological advances have accelerated the "arms race" between employees who devise new ways to goof off and employers who measure productivity. [bold added]
    It’s getting harder to outsmart the digital minders at work.

    The rise of remote work and, in turn, employee-monitoring software sparked a boom in mouse and keyboard jigglers and other hacks to help staffers fake computer activity—often so they can step away to do laundry or a school pickup.

    Now some companies are cracking down on the subterfuge, deploying tools that can better spot the phony busywork.

    The latest salvo in this productivity-tracking arms race came in a recent regulatory filing from Wells Fargo. In the disclosure, first reported on by Bloomberg News, the bank said it had fired more than a dozen employees in its wealth and investment management unit for allegedly simulating keyboard activity to create the “impression of active work.”
    Here's an ad for a mouse jiggler, a device that didn't exist back in my day.

    Monday, July 01, 2024

    Sneezing: Letting It All Out

    (BBC photo)
    I've had some bad hay fever days, but nothing like this:

    Florida man sneezes his intestines out of his body at restaurant
    A Florida man eating in a diner with his wife recently sneezed so forcefully it caused parts of his intestines to exit his body through a surgical wound, according to researchers.
    Details are found at the above link, and your humble blogger has mercifully omitted them from this post. Paramedics and doctors put things back where they belong, and the patient is expected to recover fully.

    Despite the sensational nature of this incident, it does have some scientific value: [bold added]
    The journal notes that the case is an important one because it fills in gaps in the literature about dehisence, the bursting of wounds.

    "While wound dehiscence is a well-known complication, this case is important because evisceration through the abdominal surgical site after cystectomy is poorly described in the medical literature,” the article concludes.
    If I ever have surgery during allergy season, I'm pumping myself full of antihistamines.

    Sunday, June 30, 2024

    Presiding Bishop Sean Rowe

    Press release from the Episcopal Church:
    The Rt. Rev. Sean Rowe, bishop of the Episcopal Dioceses of Northwestern Pennsylvania and Western New York, was elected and confirmed the 28th presiding bishop and primate of The Episcopal Church on June 26 for a nine-year term beginning Nov. 1.

    Rowe was chosen from among five nominees on the first ballot, with 89 votes out of 158 votes cast; 82 votes were needed to elect. Following his election by the House of Bishops, the House of Deputies confirmed the election, with 778 votes for, 43 votes against...

    Rowe, 49, was ordained bishop of the Episcopal Diocese of Northwestern Pennsylvania in 2007 and became bishop provisional of Western New York in 2019. From 2014 to 2018, he served as bishop provisional of the Episcopal Diocese of Bethlehem.

    Born in Sharon, Pennsylvania, Rowe earned a bachelor’s degree in history from Grove City College, a master of divinity from Virginia Theological Seminary, and a doctorate in organizational learning and leadership from Gannon University.

    Rowe was the youngest Episcopal priest in the U.S. when he was ordained in 2000 at age 24, and he was the youngest member of the House of Bishops when he was ordained and consecrated at age 32.

    Known for his research and work on organizational learning and adaptive performance in the church, Rowe serves as parliamentarian for the House of Bishops and the Episcopal Church Executive Council; chair of the Episcopal Church Building Fund; and as a member of the Standing Commission on Structure, Governance, and Constitution and Canons. He also serves on the Greater Buffalo Racial Equity Roundtable. In 2018, he became the first bishop to serve on the House of Deputies Committee on the State of the Church.

    Rowe is married to Carly Rowe, a Christian educator; they have a daughter named Lauren.

    Happy Birthday, Mom

    Yesterday was Mom's 95th birthday. The facility where she has lived for four years set up a conference room for her family to use. Her birthday cake was a chocolate cupcake with "9" and "5" candles, which she blew out with alacrity.

    Those of us who weren't there were able to join the party on FaceTime.

    Happy Birthday, Mom, and many more.

    Saturday, June 29, 2024

    A Thankless Task

    (Image from Carby & Carby)
    We have close friends and relatives who have been executors of estates (and we ourselves are co-executors of our parents'). The job goes smoothly if the estates are relatively small--say an owned home plus less than $1 million in liquid assets--, the heirs (typically siblings) get along, and the decedent leaves a will. In the absence of those conditions, the job is time-consuming and stressful. Many people turn it down.
    In many cases, estate lawyers said, people named as executors don’t want the job, or decline it. “It happens all the time,” said Roy Kiecke, an estate lawyer in Austin, Texas. “Mom and Dad come in and don’t want to name one of the kids, so they appoint brother Bob, and he goes, ‘Huh?’ ” He recommends that people writing their wills ensure their named executors are up to the job—and revisit the choice every few years.

    Naming a family member feels natural, but a grief-stricken relative might not be able to cope with the task. Picking one child can lead to resentment from siblings, while having co-executors can result in stalemates.

    “If you’re hesitant, then that probably means that’s not the right person,” said Chasity Sharp Grice, an estate lawyer in Memphis, Tenn.

    Especially in situations where conflict between heirs is likely, it is better to choose an impartial third party, such as a friend, lawyer or accountant, estate lawyers said.
    One of our California friends has spent over a year handling his mother's estate on the East Coast. There are complications because one of his siblngs passed away years ago and his kids want the parent's share, but it wasn't specified in the will. Our friend will try to do something for them, but the surviving siblings have objected.

    Yes, being an executor is an often thankless task where, despite best efforts, one will end up being the bad guy.

    Friday, June 28, 2024

    Every Bar is Lowered

    My portfolio in blue, S&P 500 in gray
    My retirement portfolio is up 11% year-to-date, which is well behind the 14% recorded by the S&P 500. Nevertheless, I'm happy with a six-month increase of 11%.

    It's a good thing that I'm not a professional money manager that has to explain why he didn't buy more Nvidia to keep up with the S&P:
    Nvidia’s ascent is a big reason the S&P 500 has climbed 14% this year—nearly as much as in last year’s standout first half—even as a series of hot inflation readings damped investors’ hopes that the Federal Reserve would soon begin to cut interest rates...

    So far, Nvidia has contributed 30% of the S&P 500’s total return, including dividends, this year through Wednesday, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.
    If the market doesn't go up or down in the second half, I'll still be content with 11%. When one is retired, every bar is lowered.

    Thursday, June 27, 2024

    Debate Surprise

    (Variety photo)
    I fell asleep before the debate started. (I'm ten years younger than President Biden and start fading in the early evening, so I give him credit--and President Trump, 78, too--for putting themselves out there at 9 p.m. Eastern.)

    Waking after the debate, I flipped between MSNBC, Fox, and CNN expecting to get the usual commentary from partisans about how their candidate won. For the first time in memory there was very little spin from one side, which acknowledged that their candidate did poorly.

    Instead we were treated to some Democrats calling for President Biden to drop out of the race. The biggest obstacle is the President himself.
    President Biden’s halting performance against Donald Trump left the Democratic Party in turmoil, with allies ranging from lawmakers to wealthy donors discussing Friday whether the 81-year-old should remain on the ticket even as a defiant Biden pressed on with his re-election campaign.

    The 90-minute debate, watched by tens of millions of Americans, put Biden’s age, his biggest political vulnerability, on display like no other moment in his presidency. He stumbled over words, stammered through answers and trailed off without finishing sentences, forcing Democrats to publicly confront an issue that many had largely dismissed and some had fretted over privately.

    Biden has no plans to drop out of the race, according to one of his senior advisers, and the president remains committed to the planned September debate with Trump. He returned to the campaign trail Friday, acknowledging his age but insisting he remained the right man to take on Trump....

    Biden would need to step aside from the race in order for Democrats to replace him, given that he controls most of the party’s delegates headed into their August convention.
    I had thought that the biggest pre-convention news was going to be on the Republican side, with former President Trump's hush-money sentencing on July 11th and the designation of his running mate. To almost everyone's surprise the Democratic convention could well be more entertaining.